Election predictions

[Albert Chan]

(11-05-2020 05:03 PM)David Hayden Wrote:  Do-Ro = (Rc-Dc)*N/(1-N)

That gives us the spread. To easily get a real number ...

The spread to reach break-even is real enough.

spread = (votes current difference) / (votes remaining)

When spread reached 100%, it is game-over.

Quote:Example: Trump currently has 49.7% in PA and Biden has 49.1% in Georgia with 95% of the votes counted. What percentage of the remaining votes does Biden need to win?

49.7 [Enter] 49.1 [Enter] 95 XEQ A
Answer: 55.7
So Biden needs 55.7% of the outstanding votes to win Georgia.

Did you predicted this ?

Just check the tally: 99% counted: Trump = 49.4%, Biden = 49.4%