Dr. Z's racetrack module for 41C

[ttw]

I devised a short program to pick wins or losses for NFL teams. It didn't deal with point spreads. I haven't continued development because it takes too long to enter the results each week. One problem I have is that some research work (which I read but cannot find again) shows the winner of about 50% of NFL games is determined by chance. (Mostly of where one team gets the ball; were drives start is known to be a strong determiner of NFL results.) I could only get about 70-75% with somewhere in the high 70s being what is predicted by assuming random results.

I've only started on horses. So far, I'm starting out by considering a spherical horse.